SNL Kagan Expects Blu-ray to Drive Growth in Home Video Revenue over the Next Decade - High-Def Digest Forums
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Old 02-04-2009, 12:59 PM
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Default SNL Kagan Expects Blu-ray to Drive Growth in Home Video Revenue over the Next Decade

http://www.prweb.com/releases/SNL_Ka...web1959904.htm

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SNL Kagan projects that high-definition DVD will attain 59.7% market share in 2014, with $13.1 billion in revenue. By 2017, this figure is expected to soar to 73.8%, or $15.6 billion
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Old 02-04-2009, 01:02 PM
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Five years to reach 50%? No, way too conservative. I say 50% by mid 2010.
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Old 02-04-2009, 01:47 PM
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While the current impact of Blu-ray has been relatively minor (standard DVD still comprises 97.1% of the market))
Obviously a bogus study - I have it on good source, a thread in this very same Smackdown forum, that Blu-ray is already 17% of the Home Video Market.

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Five years to reach 50%? No, way too conservative. I say 50% by mid 2010.
And "SNL" is a good title for this thread, as in a comedy skit from Saturday Night Live.
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Old 02-04-2009, 02:03 PM
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Obviously a bogus study - I have it on good source, a thread in this very same Smackdown forum, that Blu-ray is already 17% of the Home Video Market.
17 percent of the top 20 titles last week.
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Old 02-04-2009, 02:09 PM
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17 percent of the top 20 titles last week.
That's not what the thread title, OP, or what Josh's "news" release on blu-ray.com says.
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Old 02-04-2009, 02:09 PM
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Five years to reach 50%? No, way too conservative. I say 50% by mid 2010.


Yeah, and the studios will stop making DVDs tomorrow and all current DVD players will explode.
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Old 02-04-2009, 03:00 PM
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Originally Posted by CochiseGuy View Post
Obviously a bogus study - I have it on good source, a thread in this very same Smackdown forum, that Blu-ray is already 17% of the Home Video Market.
He was most probably using the overall figures of 2008: $700 million vs 21.7 billion, or approx 3 percent.

But you already knew that. Man, this "tweaking" is getting old...
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Old 02-04-2009, 03:45 PM
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He was most probably using the overall figures of 2008: $700 million vs 21.7 billion, or approx 3 percent.

But you already knew that.
As a matter of fact, yes, I did.

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Man, this "tweaking" is getting old...
3% vs. 17% is hardly "tweaking". Claims of 17% market share for BD when the actual market share is around 3% is misleading misinformation. That's what's getting old.
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Old 02-04-2009, 03:59 PM
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Originally Posted by CochiseGuy View Post
3% vs. 17% is hardly "tweaking".
I was using the term "tweaking" in the sense nextoo used recently, meaning "baiting". As in, you were taunting the rest of us.

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Claims of 17% market share for BD when the actual market share is around 3% is misleading misinformation. That's what's getting old.
Depends on your idea of "actual." If your idea of "actual" is Jan-Dec 08 revenue market share, you would be right.

But:

Iif you consider sales revenues in Q4 2008 then you'd have 10.5% revenue BD.

Iif you consider sales revenues in January 2009, then you'd have 13.3% revenue BD.

So at any rate, saying "BD is 2.9%" is painting a considerably less accurate picture than saying BD is 17%.
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Old 02-04-2009, 06:18 PM
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Originally Posted by CochiseGuy View Post
Claims of 17% market share for BD when the actual market share is around 3%" is misleading misinformation. That's what's getting old.
Uh, no. Pulling data from over a year ago is what's misleading. The pace Blu-ray is selling at in 2009 (4 weeks of data) gives everyone a far better indication of Blu-ray's progress.

But you probably knew this already. But then, why would you say what you do? Oh, right... hate.
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