Nostradamus Game for October 5, 2008 - High-Def Digest Forums
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  #1  
Old 10-06-2008, 04:25 PM
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Default Nostradamus Game for October 5, 2008

This week begins the Nostradamus Championship Series! This is a prediction game where everyone is welcome to predict the Nielson ratings for each week. Predictions include the top ten sellers and the percentage of Blu-ray sales to DVD sales. Since it has been a year since we last held the Championship I thought it would be a good idea to repost the rules:

The Rules

A valid prediction consists of a top ten list of best sellers and a percentage of Blu-ray sales to DVD sales. Predictions must be submitted before noon Wednesday of each week. That means all predictions posted or edited after 11:59 am Pacific Time on Wednesday of each week will be disqualified. You may edit your predictions as much as you like before the dealine. An example prediction looks like this (you don't have to use this format exactly):

Quote:
Originally Posted by tiberius View Post
  1. Transformers
  2. The Nightmare Before Christmas
  3. Heroes Season 2
  4. Heroes Season 1
  5. Batman Begins
  6. The Invincible Iron Man
  7. U-571
  8. Eraser
  9. Outbreak
  10. Under Siege 2: Dark Territory

Blu-ray percentage: 10%
As a favor and to help avoid errors, please number your top ten picks or use the numbered list feature. That way I don't have to keep counting your entries.

Also remember that this is a Sales Data and Ranks smackdown forum and not a "you're losing the NCS - what a stupid moron!" forum. Debating sales positions and ratios is perfectly fine. Telling someone they are a clod for losing is not.

Scoring

Weekly scoring:
(Balian's scoring rules)
Points breakdown for each position predicted correctly:
1. 200 pts
2. 150 pts
3. 100 pts
4. 80 pts
5. 60 pts
6. 50 pts
7. 40 pts
8. 30 pts
9. 22 pts
10. 18 pts

If your pick falls within (-/+) 1 position, you get half of the points for the position you picked. For example, if you pick Transformers to be #4 and the actual number is #3, you will get 40 points. If you pick Iron Man to be #1 and it turns out to be #2, you will get 100 points.

The percentage scoring is based on the absolute value of the difference of your prediction and the actual percentage. If you predict an 8% sales for Blu-ray and it is actually 7% the absolute value of the difference is 1. Points are awarded as follows:

0 - 250
1 - 150
2 - 100
3 - 50
4 - 25

If you guess the percentage spot on you will get 250 points. If you guess 10% and the actual percentage is 6%, your difference is 4 and you will get 25 points.

A complete breakdown of the weekly scores will always be posted so that anyone may double check for accuracy. After inputting your predictions, a program tabulates the results and reports exactly how those results were obtained. So hopefully there will be no errors.

NCS scoring:
The Championship scores will be the total of your eleven highest weekly scores. If you miss a week you simply won't receive any points that week. There are thirteen weeks in the Championship (October 5 through December 28). Of these thirteen weekly scores, the two lowest scores will be discarded. The eleven remaining weekly scores will be counted towards your Championship score. At the end of Q4 (i.e. the week ending December 28, 2008) the player with the most total points will be the Champion.

Prizes

At the end of the Championship the Champion will receive a prize consisting of a to be determined number movies. The prize will only be awarded to one winner and only at the end of the Championship.

Miscellaneous

In order to give everyone plenty of time to post their predictions, I will endeavor to start each week's Nostradamus Game thread the weekend ending the corresponding week. Thus everyone should have at least Monday through Wednesday to make their predictions. If by Tuesday night (night meaning after 8:00 PM Pacific Time) the week's thread has not been started, then someone please take the initiative and start the thread. I don't forsee this ever being needed, but then I'm no good at predicting these top sellers, let alone my own future.

Now for this week

This week's new releases are:
  • The 40-Year-Old Virgin (Universal)
  • Angel in the Family (Echo Bridge)
  • Can't Hardly Wait (Sony)
  • A Christmas Visitor (Echo Bridge)
  • Daredevil: Director's Cut (Fox)
  • Dawn of the Dead (2004) (Universal)
  • Forgetting Sarah Marshall (Universal)
  • Halloween Starter Pack ['The Thing (1982),' 'Land of the Dead,' 'Dawn of the Dead (2004)'] (Universal)
  • Iron Man (2008) (Paramount)
  • Jethro Tull: Live at Montreux 2003 (Eagles Rock)
  • Knocked Up (Universal)
  • Land of the Dead (Universal)
  • Legends: Live at Montreux 1997 (Eagle Rock)
  • The Man Who Saved Christmas (Echo Bridge)
  • Roy Orbison: A Black & White Night (Image)
  • Salem Witch Trials (Echo Bridge)
  • The Sixth Sense (Walt Disney)
  • The Texas Chainsaw Massacre (1974) (Dark Sky Films)
  • The Thing (1982) (Universal)
  • Ultimate Unrated Comedy Collection (Forgetting Sarah Marshall, Knocked Up, The 40-Year-Old Virgin) (Universal)
  • When We Left Earth: The NASA Missions (Image)

Now make your predictions and good luck!
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  #2  
Old 10-06-2008, 04:42 PM
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Default My predictions

Woohoo, another Championship! Here's hoping I do better this year than last year

Number one should be easy to pick...
  1. Iron Man
  2. Forgetting Sarah Marshall
  3. Sex and the City: The Movie
  4. Dawn of the Dead
  5. Knocked Up
  6. Daredevil: Director's Cut
  7. The Sixth Sense
  8. The 40-Year-Old Virgin
  9. The Godfather: The Coppola Restoration
  10. Land of the Dead

Blu-ray percentage: 14%

Last edited by tiberius; 10-08-2008 at 03:43 PM.
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  #3  
Old 10-06-2008, 07:24 PM
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1. Iron Man
2. Forgetting Sarah Marshall
3. Sex And The City
4. Transformers
5. The Godfather Collection
6. Knocked Up
7. Dawn Of The Dead
8. Speed Racer
9. Batman Begins
10. 300

Blu-ray: 13%

Good luck everyone. Tiberius, thanks again.

Here goes the second annual NCS !!! Hang on for a wild ride.

Last edited by Nighthawk; 10-08-2008 at 12:09 AM.
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  #4  
Old 10-06-2008, 09:58 PM
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Default

1. Iron Man
2. Forgetting Sarah Marshall
3. Sex and the City: The Movie
4. The Godfather Collection
5. Knocked Up
6. Transformers
7. The 40-Year-Old Virgin
8. Speed Racer
9. Daredevil: Director's Cut
10. LA Confidential

Blu-ray percentage: 10%
People need more comedy movies during economic recession!

Last edited by z4017; 10-07-2008 at 11:14 PM.
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  #5  
Old 10-06-2008, 10:25 PM
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Default

1. Iron Man
2. Forgetting Sarah Marshall
3. Sex and the City The Movie
4. The Godfather Collection
5. Knocked Up
6. The Sixth Sense
7. Can't Hardly Wait (I don't think it stands a chance, but I love this movie)
8. Leatherheads
9. Transformers
10. Nightmare Before Christmas

12%
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  #6  
Old 10-07-2008, 12:27 AM
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Posts: 18,154
Default

1. Iron Man
2. Forgetting Sarah Marshell
3. Knocked Up

Last edited by Favelle; 10-07-2008 at 04:43 AM.
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  #7  
Old 10-07-2008, 01:14 AM
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Posts: 730
Default

1. Iron Man
2. Forgetting Sarah Marshall
3. Sex and the City
4. The Godfather Collection
5. Transformers
6. Speed Racer
7. The Sixth Sence
8. Knocked Up
9. The 40-Year-Old Virgin
10. Forbidden Kingdom

15%

Last edited by hdmoviefan101; 10-08-2008 at 08:45 AM.
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  #8  
Old 10-07-2008, 03:23 AM
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Posts: 5,329
Default

1. Iron Man
2. Forgetting Sarah Marshall
3. Knocked up
4. Transformers
5. The Godfather collection
6. Sex And the city
7. Dawn of the dead
8. Daredevil: Director's Cut
9. Speed Racer
10. Can't Hardly Wait


13%

Last edited by murphjp; 10-07-2008 at 10:13 PM.
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  #9  
Old 10-07-2008, 11:43 AM
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Posts: 24
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1. Iron Man
2. Forgetting Sarah Marshall
3. Sex and the City
4. Transformers
5. The Godfather Collection
6. Knocked Up
7. Speed Racer
8. Daredevil: Director's Cut
9. Batman Begins
10. 300

10%

Suggestion: Can you post the Top 10 from the previous week? It would save alot of time.
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  #10  
Old 10-07-2008, 09:19 PM
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Posts: 704
Default

1.Iron Man
2.Forgetting Sarah Marshall
3.Sex and the city
4.Godfather collection
5.Transformers
6.Speed racer
7.Leatherheads
8.Knocked Up
9.Forbidden Kingdom
10.Sixth sense

12% blu

Last edited by bboy412; 10-08-2008 at 09:20 AM.
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