It May Take 10+ Years Before The Blu-ray Format Replaces The Standard 480i Dvd Format - High-Def Digest Forums
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Old 02-20-2008, 10:34 PM
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Default It May Take 10+ Years Before The Blu-ray Format Replaces The Standard 480i Dvd Format

Just about everyone knows now that the BLU-RAY format has won the format war over the HD-DVD format. It may take 10 or 20 years for the BLU-RAY format to replace the standard 480I DVD format.
When the standard DVD format was introduced in 1997 in the US the competition was the Laserdisc format that was introduced in 1978. In two years after the introduction of the DVD format the DVD format killed off the Laserdisc format. Then it took 10 years for the DVD format to win the war against VHS. In 2007 JVC the inventor of the VHS format stopped production on all standalone VHS/S-VHS/D-VHS machines. Now only combo dual format VHS/DVD machines are being made. Also no major Hollywood studio and most small studios are not releasing movies on VHS anymore.
So I think it is safe to say that it may take until 2016 at the earliest before BLU-RAY replaces standard DVD. It may take as long as 2026 for BLU-RAY to replace DVD.
Then again BLU-RAY could replace the DVD format easily within 5-10 years once players are under $200 and the major Hollywood Studios slowly stop releasing movies on DVD and only release movies on the BLU-RAY format. The same thing happen with the history of the VHS format. The studios slowly stopped releasing movies onto VHS and started to only release movies on the DVD format. People that wanted to rent or purchase the latest movies were required to purchase a DVD player. The major Hollywood studios like BLU-RAY due to its high quality and strong anti-piracy features. Which every new high quality format the major Hollywood studios decide to support will be the format that generally will replace the older format like DVD.
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Old 02-20-2008, 10:46 PM
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Umm? DVD was released in 1997 and it took 10 years to win against VHS? So... two or three months ago DVD finally beat VHS? Are you kidding? The only place to find VHS movies are in liquidation store bargain bins and the middle aisles of Blockbuster where no one goes without looking like they're paranoid about being caught there. VHS was phased out by DVD a loooong time ago. Like, back when dinosaurs walked the earth. My kids look at them like I look at 8-track tapes.
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Old 02-20-2008, 10:55 PM
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What was the last hollywood movie released on VHS? and when. Sure PRODUCTION of VHS players may have stopped in 2007 but when was the last movie issued on that format. I stopped buying VHS in 2000 and moved to DVD in 2002
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Old 02-21-2008, 12:03 AM
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It wasn't until 2003 (maybe 2004, can't remember which) that DVD finally outsold VHS for the year.
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Old 02-21-2008, 12:08 AM
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As long as all new releases are available on Blu-ray does it matter how long it takes to overtake DVD sales?

I would guess we are about 5 years away from a 50/50 split between BD and SD DVD sales. I would guess by 10 years from now (possibly sooner) we will have something new in the works like Holographic disks or 4000p TV's the way technology is advancing.
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Old 02-21-2008, 12:17 AM
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Both will co-exist for a while, I don't think Blu should try to compete with DVD until much later in Blus life cycle.
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Old 02-21-2008, 12:18 AM
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Blu-Ray outsold VHS starting in December I think. ;D
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Old 02-21-2008, 12:18 AM
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Whoa, what's with the annoying use of BOLD!?!?
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Old 02-21-2008, 10:06 AM
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Nobody pointing out that DVD is 480p?
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Old 02-21-2008, 01:44 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Coaler View Post
Nobody pointing out that DVD is 480p?
The native format of all DVDís is 480I. Some DVD players will up convert the image to 480P or even higher to 1080P. Of course a up convert image does not look as good as the native 1080P/24 that BLU-RAY offers.
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