How long before the USA have 100 Mbps internet and 6TB harddrive?

[Dust]

How long before the USA have 100 Mbps internet AND affordable 6TB harddrive (~$250)?

The answer to this is crucial to the adoption of HD movie download.

6TB harddrive = 300 movies (about 20GB each)

100 Mbps = ~10 MB/sec speed
(able to download 20 GB in ~34 minutes)
(able to download 36GB in 1 hour)

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I would venture a guess of 12-15 years.

[MyopicRaiderfan]

Hard drive growth will occur way before we get 100Mb into our homes at the $30 to $50 that most will pay a month. I don't think we have the infrastructure and that will cost real money.

My guess 2012 at the earliest but more realistically 2015.

[twonunpackmule]

I'd say 6-7 years.

The USA will try to figure out their own solution first. Then finally give up and let someone else do it.

It appears a solution is out there...

http://www.theengineer.co.uk/Article...+broadband.htm

[pazuzu]

verizon is testing a 100mp connection now

http://gigaom.com/2007/09/02/verizon-fios-100-mbps/

[fistandantilist]

Well considering that less than 3 years ago a 1TB HDD was selling for like $650, I would say that to get a 6TB HDD will take at least 3-5 years. As far as 100Mbps internet, wow, most people are sitting on around 15Mbps, unless you are the lucky ones that have Fios, that should take another 7-8 years at least. There was something at ces today about Comcast touting 100Mbps and up cable connection. I'm guessing that it is still aways off to being affordable, but he said that it should start to be implemented by the end of this year.

[D3lta]

I put 6-7 years.

Lol, who put over 19 years?

[Ph8]

Moved the thread to Other formats as this doesn't really have to do with Either format. This could be related to HD downloads, which should go outside of the smackdown forum.

[battlechaser]

Comcast already has developed up to 112 mb connections through standard coaxial cable. by 2009 they will be offering up to 32mb down and 10mb up.


Or at least that is what was discussed at the 2007 All Team Comcast Meeting.

comes from a credible source, i am a comcast employee


b

[duckie42]

the cable company would need to make the entire system fibered optic, & have a direct fiber port on the cable box or have the TV's fiber capable. A 100MB ps DL / UL would fry about 90% of all the computer & phone modoms thats online righ now. fiber porting TV's is probablt 3-4 years away...cable companies would have to rebuild their entire nodes & grid system to handle that. & to handle the 1440I 1440P tv that would be the 50+ inch tv standard

[battlechaser]

actually Comcast ALREADY uses fiber for its infrastructure, AT&T is supposed to go fiber to the curb of every house by 2009, so we may see this in the next couple years. 32-50mb in the next year or even by 2009. i know business accounts have up to 24mb down and 6 up right now, so 32-50mb isn't a stretch in terms of using the current coaxial/fiber/hardline connections that are there right now.

[bonzi]

I know the thread says 'in the US'. But here in Australia, Telstra already has had 200mbps internet running. That speed is only available for cable TV and the cable internet speed is currently set at 30mbps. They'll increase the speed to 40mbps by the end of 2008.

[ZenOps]

Most of Canada has had 25mbits for a couple years. Kinda expensive at $93/month though.

With the Docsis 3.0 upgrades this year, 100 mbits both ways should be available at the same time.

[Detroit Tigers Fan]

I said 6-7 but I think it will al the most be ten years.

[Darkfalz]

http://arstechnica.com/news.ars/post...d-for-all.html

“Federal Communications Commission Chairman Kevin Martin has affirmed that broadband policy is a "priority" for the Commission, and President Bush said back in 2004 that he wanted universal access to broadband by 2007. Sen. Jay Rockefeller (D-WV) is on board with the broadband love and has an even more ambitious goal: universal 100Mbps broadband from sea to shining sea by 2015.”

...and when you have such a huge pipe, who has a need to store the movies on huge hard drives? At that point, might as well just stream all your content from 'the cloud'.

That's where we're headed... and it's not far on the horizon at all.

[flea77]

Too bad there is not enough backbone to actually accomplish feeding every home with 100Mbs. Even if there were, how fast would the feeds have to be to allow all those people to download a movie from a studio, that studio would have to have multiples of the fastest OCs in the world, which of course would saturate the backbone and bring everything to a crawl.

People need to remember that the internet does NOT have an infinate amount of bandwidth to feed all these customer. The backbones have to grow massively before this becomes a reality. So, a minimum of 10 years before DD can even think about becoming something mainstream.

Allan