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  1. #616
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kosty View Post
    Today in Home Media Magazine has an article to put his comments in perspective. Its not like Tom K Arnold has ignored Blu-ray.

    If you don't think multiple billions of dollars in Blu-ray sales and revenues are significant then you scale is way off when you crow about Blu-ray 3D or HD DVR usage which are orders of magnitude smaller. Blu-ray sales and rental revenues are significant, even if they are smaller than DVD.

    Analyst: AppleTV Amazon ‘Double-Whammy’ of Digital Speculation -DVD/BD still dominant
    It's Chinese Money:

    http://widescreenreview.com/blog_detail.php?id=422

    There is no proof whatsoever that there are new movie buyers buying movies. A big chunk of former DVD buyers are now BD buyers.
  2. #617
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kosty View Post
    Disney is a poor example. Families buy Disney titles. The people who had kids that watched them when the titles came out on VHS are not the same people that had kids when the DVD versions came out are are not the same people that have kids now and are currently buying the Disney Blu-ray+DVD+DC combo versions.
    which is why I put at the end of my post that Disney is a hypothetical collection and you can replace Disney with any collection that would fit your lifestyle. Let's put James Bond there instead of Disney, or Godfather collection, or any other collection that would have seen VHS to DVD to Blu. Tough sell to joe consumer.
    The question is how do we convince J6P to purchase catalog on Blu?
  3. #618
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kosty View Post
    Its a better question when you talk about other titles that consumers may have collected and how do you get them to replace their DVD collections with Blu-ray.

    The short answer is you don't , at least not completely. Even uber collectors that have a lot of DVD, won't rebuy them all on Blu-ray. I won't and I'm on the extreme enthusiast fringe. Most normal consumers certainly will not.

    But many people, including me, will re buy titles on Blu-ray that we will think we will watch again, if the price is right. But things that don't improve much on high definition , like comedies and chick flicks or character driven dramas or TV shows, will only be replaced by me if the price is very right, under $10 for example and even then is less of a priority if I see some other genre title.

    No one now expects consumers to replace their DVD libraries fully as streaming from Netflix, better sat and cable etc also give alternatives to watch those things and some DVDs are good enough for their limited repeat watching potential.

    Some Blu-ray catalog titles are obviously worth re buying on Blu-ray if you have the DVD already, some are not so obvious, but the way to get all them to sell more is to eventually get them at some point after release to be less pricey.
    Will they average joe and the diehard collector rebuy when they can purchase a digital dowload (not rent)?
  4. #619
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    August 24th (8) and August 31st (12) Catalog releases

    Code:
                Title                           Year  Released  IMDB   RT BoxOffice Studio
    
    Shogun Assassin                             1980   8/24/10   7.4                AnimEigo
    Machine Gun McCain                          1969   8/24/10   6.1                Blue Underground
    The Long Good Friday                        1980   8/24/10   7.8   94           Image
    Mona Lisa                                   1986   8/24/10   7.3   96     5.4   Image
    Time Bandits                                1981   8/24/10   6.9   94    36.0   Image
    Withnail and I                              1987   8/24/10   7.8   93     1.5   Image
    Death Note	                            2006   8/24/10   7.7   75           Viz Pictures  
    Death Note II: The Last Name                2006   8/24/10   7.4   80           Viz Pictures
    
    The Evil Dead                               1981   8/31/10   7.6  100     2.4   Anchor Bay
    2001 Maniacs                                2005   8/31/10   5.3                Lionsgate
    Bad Lieutenant                              1992   8/31/10   6.9   76     2.0   Lionsgate
    The Blair Witch Project                     1999   8/31/10   6.2   85   140.5   Lionsgate
    Hard Candy                                  2005   8/31/10   7.2   68     1.0   Lionsgate
    High Tension                                2003   8/31/10   6.8   41     3.6   Lionsgate
    Open Water                                  2003   8/31/10   5.9   72    30.6   Lionsgate
    Secretary                                   2002   8/31/10   7.1   74     4.0   Lionsgate
    Wonderland                                  2003   8/31/10   6.6   35     1.1   Lionsgate
    Anchorman: The Legend of Ron Burgundy       2004   8/31/10   7.0   66    84.1   Paramount
    The Score                                   2001   8/31/10   6.8   74    71.1   Paramount
    Deep Blue Sea                               1999   8/31/10   5.6   57    73.6   Warner
    http://forums.highdefdigest.com/blu-...eases-u-s.html
    Last edited by bruceames; 09-03-2010 at 08:02 PM.
  5. #620
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    Well as Blu-ray catalog prices are getting below $15 now and even $10 for many titles , thats coming into impulse buying habits that consumers have been used to for DVD now for a decade.

    To what degree consumers will buy Blu-ray catalog is still an very open question.
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  6. #621
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kosty View Post
    Well as Blu-ray catalog prices are getting below $15 now and even $10 for many titles , thats coming into impulse buying habits that consumers have been used to for DVD now for a decade.

    To what degree consumers will buy Blu-ray catalog is still an very open question.
    Consumers are used to $5-$10 for DVD catalog now. The thing is, as Blu-ray catalog prices keep falling, so does DVD, so the price disparity (as a whole) remains proportionally high.

    Consumers need to feel compelled to spend the extra money, and the only way they're going to do that is if they get used to Blu-ray on their increasingly larger HDTVs. The difference just doesn't jump out at you on the smaller TVs, or if they're sitting too far away too appreciate the difference.
  7. #622
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    Consumers will also move more to Blu-ray catalog titles as Blu-ray and BD+DVD movies displace DVD only ones on retail shelves, just like Blu-ray players are doing with DVD players now. As Blu-ray household penetration rises, retailers will naturally service that market.
    .
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  8. #623
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    Quote Originally Posted by bruceames View Post
    Consumers are used to $5-$10 for DVD catalog now. The thing is, as Blu-ray catalog prices keep falling, so does DVD, so the price disparity (as a whole) remains proportionally high.

    Consumers need to feel compelled to spend the extra money, and the only way they're going to do that is if they get used to Blu-ray on their increasingly larger HDTVs. The difference just doesn't jump out at you on the smaller TVs, or if they're sitting too far away too appreciate the difference.
    Quote Originally Posted by Kosty View Post
    Consumers will also move more to Blu-ray catalog titles as Blu-ray and BD+DVD movies displace DVD only ones on retail shelves, just like Blu-ray players are doing with DVD players now. As Blu-ray household penetration rises, retailers will naturally service that market.
    How does that make a lick of sense when those consumers already own the DVD? So you are saying that when the DVD that they already own is no longer available on the shelf they will then be compelled to buy the BR version?! Are you counting on all those DVDs to self destruct or something?
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  9. #624
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    No. You are confusing a decision a consumer makes with the larger issue of increasing Blu-ray catalog sales to millions of consumers.

    First, as the prices of Blu-ray catalog prices drop at retail, individual consumers who may already own the DVDs may see it much more attractive to re buy and double dip on a Blu-ray version if the price is lower. Or as prices fall on catalog Blu-ray titles more and more consumers see the purchase at a price they see as a fair value or being worth it to buy the Blu-ray version, even if they have the DVD.

    Consumers, as in many individuals, as a group, will tend to buy more of something when they see it at retail. As more Blu-ray and BD+DVD skus displace DVD on retail shelves or just become more visible at retail, more and more Blu-ray catalog titles will naturally be sold to the growing amount of Blu-ray hardware owners.

    If you already own the DVD, its irrelevant if the DVD is already there to you, but its very relevant to you that a Blu-ray version might be available at $10 right in front of your face at Walmart Target or Best Buy or now even supermarkets or drug stores for $10, as is starting to happen this month at several regional and national grocery and drug store chains.
    .
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  10. #625
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  11. #626
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kosty View Post
    No. You are confusing a decision a consumer makes with the larger issue of increasing Blu-ray catalog sales to millions of consumers.

    First, as the prices of Blu-ray catalog prices drop at retail, individual consumers who may already own the DVDs may see it much more attractive to re buy and double dip on a Blu-ray version if the price is lower. Or as prices fall on catalog Blu-ray titles more and more consumers see the purchase at a price they see as a fair value or being worth it to buy the Blu-ray version, even if they have the DVD.

    Consumers, as in many individuals, as a group, will tend to buy more of something when they see it at retail. As more Blu-ray and BD+DVD skus displace DVD on retail shelves or just become more visible at retail, more and more Blu-ray catalog titles will naturally be sold to the growing amount of Blu-ray hardware owners.

    If you already own the DVD, its irrelevant if the DVD is already there to you, but its very relevant to you that a Blu-ray version might be available at $10 right in front of your face at Walmart Target or Best Buy or now even supermarkets or drug stores for $10, as is starting to happen this month at several regional and national grocery and drug store chains.
    And where is all this disposable cash coming from? You know something about the economy that we don't?
  12. #627
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    Blu-ray's growth rate in new release and studio catalog sales has been slowed but not stopped because of the recent economic conditions as people are still spending around $20 billion a year in 2010 on packaged media sales and rental as well as incrementally more cloud based stuff.
    .
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  13. #628
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    Bruce:

    Do you want to cross post the data on 2010 and 2000 catalog titles you just posted in the Ultraviolet thread here? They are more on topic and useful in this thread I think. Those were useful observations and worthy of comments.
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  14. #629
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kosty View Post
    I never said I was not concerned about the pace of catalog title releases, or that I did not want more. But I do understand why it is what it is and I see the pace of announcements accelerating for the fall.

    Small studios that are concerned about $45,000 costs are looking at projections of less than 5000 units or so and have a current issue at the moment of distribution of those kind of releases at retail. The issue is more at this time that there are actually more available Blu-ray titles available that are going to take up retail facings this fall that there is less retailer demand for new catalog releases.

    Thats a different decision factor that the overall growth in the cumulative sales combined of all the Blu-ray catalog sales currently available which is steadily growing. But retailers have more than enough selection available now and catalog titles are not as time sensitive as day and date new releases.

    Major studios have to continue to release some new to Blu-ray catalog titles to keep a flow into the retail pipeline but they don't need to throw releases in the stream when the retail demand is already satisfied with the existing releases. Retail just has to catch up a bit here and digest the titles already available as they increase the Blu-ray facings on display.
    cross posted here from this thread

    UltraViolet was developed with Blu-ray in mind...physical media not going away soon
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  15. #630
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    cross posted here

    [QUOTE=bruceames]

    The studios haven't given up on the format, but they have cut back on catalog releases this year. Reciting 20-30 titles that are scheduled to come out won't change that fact. So far this year (the first 8 months) the major studios have released a total of 139 catalog movies, compared to 182 for last year. That's a big difference and really surprising considering 4 year old formats typically have an accelerating increase of output.

    2010 (Jan-Aug): 139


    Code:
                Title                           Year  Released  IMDB   RT BoxOffice Studio
    
    2001 Maniacs                                2005   8/31/10   5.3                Lionsgate
    Bad Lieutenant                              1992   8/31/10   6.9   76     2.0   Lionsgate
    The Blair Witch Project                     1999   8/31/10   6.2   85   140.5   Lionsgate
    Hard Candy                                  2005   8/31/10   7.2   68     1.0   Lionsgate
    High Tension                                2003   8/31/10   6.8   41     3.6   Lionsgate
    Open Water                                  2003   8/31/10   5.9   72    30.6   Lionsgate
    Secretary                                   2002   8/31/10   7.1   74     4.0   Lionsgate
    Wonderland                                  2003   8/31/10   6.6   35     1.1   Lionsgate
    Anchorman: The Legend of Ron Burgundy       2004   8/31/10   7.0   66    84.1   Paramount
    The Score                                   2001   8/31/10   6.8   74    71.1   Paramount
    Deep Blue Sea                               1999   8/31/10   5.6   57    73.6   Warner
    Nanny McPhee                                2005   8/17/10   6.7   73    47.1   Universal
    Hamlet                                      1996   8/17/10   7.7   94     4.7   Warner
    What's Up, Doc?                             1972   8/10/10   7.6   91    66.0   Warner
    National Lampoon's Vacation                 1983   8/10/10   7.3   94    61.4   Warner
    National Lampoon's European Vacation        1985   8/10/10   5.8   42    49.4   Warner
    James and the Giant Peach                   1996    8/3/10   6.7   93    28.9   Buena Vista
    Road to Perdition                           2002    8/3/10   7.8   82   104.5   Dreamworks
    Fargo                                       1996    8/3/10   8.3   94    24.6   MGM
    Kalifornia                                  1993    8/3/10   6.6   65     2.4   MGM
    Bill Durham                                 1988    8/3/10   7.0   98    50.9   MGM
    Escape From New York                        1981    8/3/10   7.1   81    25.2   MGM
    Charlie's Angels                            2000    8/3/10   5.5   67   125.3   Sony
    The Breakfast Club                          1985    8/3/10   7.9   90    45.9   Universal
    
    Johnny Handsome                             1989   7/27/10   5.8   62     7.2   Lionsgate
    Lock Up                                     1989   7/27/10   5.8   20    22.1   Lionsgate
    Crouching Tiger Hidden Dragon               2000   7/27/10   8.0   97   128.1   Sony
    Cats & Dogs                                 2001   7/20/10   5.2   53    93.4   Warner
    In Bruges                                   2008   7/13/10   8.1   80     7.8   Universal
    Alpha Dog                                   2006   7/13/10   6.9   55    15.3   Universal
    Assault on Precinct 13                      2005   7/13/10   6.3   60    20.0   Universal
    Insomnia                                    2002   7/13/10   7.2   92    67.4   Warner
    Ladybugs                                    1992    7/6/10   4.4   17    14.8   Lionsgate
    Last Man Standing                           1996    7/6/10   6.1   37    18.1   New Line
    Jason and the Argonauts                     1963    7/6/10   7.3   95           Sony    
    The Witches of Eastwick                     1987    7/6/10   6.4   72    63.0   Warner
    The Last Boy Scout                          1991    7/6/10   6.7   43    59.5   Warner
    Dr. Giggles                                 1992    7/6/10   4.4   21     8.4   Warner
    Practical Magic                             1998    7/6/10   5.5   21    46.6   Warner
    
    Jimmy Hollywood                             1994   6/29/10   5.3   16     3.8   Lionsgate
    A Star is Born                              1954   6/22/10   7.8  100     4.3   Warner
    Showgirls                                   1995   6/15/10   4.0   14    20.4   MGM
    Darkman                                     1990   6/15/10   6.3   77    33.9   Universal
    Flash Gordon                                1980   6/15/10   6.2   83    27.1   Universal
    The Illusionist                             2006    6/8/10   7.7   73    39.9   Fox
    Caddyshack                                  1980    6/8/10   7.3   74    39.8   Warner
    War of the Worlds                           2005    6/1/10   6.6   73   234.3   Dreamworks
    A Fistful of Dollars                        1964    6/1/10   8.0   97    14.5   MGM
    For a Few Dollars More                      1965    6/1/10   8.3   92    15.0   MGM
    Bad Boys                                    1995    6/1/10   6.6   41    65.8   Sony
    Where Eagles Dare                           1968    6/1/10   7.7   88     7.1   Warner
    Kelly's Heroes                              1970    6/1/10   7.5   86     5.2   Warner
    Heartbreak Ridge                            1986    6/1/10   6.5   83    42.7   Warner
    The Rookie (1990)                           1990    6/1/10   5.5   60    21.6   Warner
    Absolute Power                              1997    6/1/10   6.5   46    50.1   Warner
    
    Spartacus                                   1960   5/25/10   8.0   95     1.8   Universal
    Carlito's Way                               1993   5/18/10   7.9   81    36.9   Universal
    Appleseed                                   2004   5/18/10   7.0   22     0.1   Warner
    The Edge                                    1997   5/11/10   6.7   56    27.9   Fox
    Marked For Death                            1990   5/11/10   5.2   22    46.0   Fox
    The Man in the Iron Mask                    1998   5/11/10   6.1   30    57.0   MGM
    Hang 'Em High                               1968   5/11/10   6.9   92    11.0   MGM
    The Magnificent Seven                       1960   5/11/10   7.8   93           MGM
    Return of the Seven                         1966   5/11/10   5.3   14           MGM
    Guns of the Magnificent Seven               1969   5/11/10   5.3                MGM
    The Magnificent Seven Ride!                 1972   5/11/10   5.5                MGM
    The Karate Kid                              1984   5/11/10   6.9   89    90.8   Sony
    The Karate Kid: Part 2                      1986   5/11/10   5.3   40   115.1   Sony
    Electra                                     2005    5/4/10   4.9   10    24.4   Fox
    K-19: The Widowmaker                        2002    5/4/10   6.5   61    35.2   Paramount
    Saving Private Ryan                         1998    5/4/10   8.5   91   216.5   Paramount
    Escape From L.A                             1996    5/4/10   5.2   58    25.5   Paramount
    Doctor Zhivago                              1965    5/4/10   8.0   84    11.7   Warner
    
    Armageddon                                  1998   4/27/10   6.1   41   201.6   Buena Vista
    Tombstone                                   1993   4/27/10   7.7   79    56.5   Buena Vista
    Elizabeth                                   1998   4/27/10   7.6   80    30.1   Universal
    Elizabeth: The Golden Age                   2007   4/27/10   6.8   35    16.4   Universal
    Traffic                                     2000   4/27/10   7.8   92   124.1   Universal
    The Jackal                                  1997   4/27/10   6.0   13    54.9   Universal
    Out of Africa                               1985   4/27/10   7.0   61    87.1   Universal
    Dune                                        1984   4/27/10   6.5   64    30.9   Universal
    Minority Report                             2002   4/20/10   7.7   92   132.1   Paramount
    A Nightmare on Elm Street                   1984   4/13/10   7.4   94    25.5   New Line
    Apollo 13                                   1995   4/13/10   7.5   96   173.8   Universal
    Cocoon                                      1985    4/6/10   6.6   77    76.1   Fox
    The Relic                                   1997    4/6/10   5.3   33    34.0   Lionsgate
    Jade                                        1995    4/6/10   4.8   13     9.9   Lionsgate
    Flight of the Intruder                      1991    4/6/10   5.3   30    14.6   Lionsgate
    The Thomas Crown Affair                     1999    4/6/10   6.7   67    69.3   MGM
    The Lord of the Rings (1978)                1978    4/6/10   5.8   50    30.5   New Line
    The Lord of the Rings:Fellowship of the Ring2001    4/6/10   8.8   92   313.4   New Line
    The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers       2002    4/6/10   8.7   96   339.8   New Line
    The Lord of the Rings: Return of the King   2003    4/6/10   8.8   94   377.0   New Line
    The Natural                                 1984    4/6/10   7.4   83    48.0   Sony
    Poseidon                                    2006    4/6/10   5.6   33    60.7   Warner
    
    Collateral                                  2004   3/30/10   7.8   86   101.0   Paramount
    Toy Story 2                                 1999   3/23/10   8.0  100   245.9   Buena Vista
    Toy Story                                   1995   3/23/10   8.1  100   191.8   Buena Vista
    The African Queen                           1951   3/23/10   8.1  100           Paramount    
    The Kids are Alright                        1979    3/9/10   7.9  100           Universal
    Clash of the Titans                         1981    3/2/10   6.7   72    41.1   Warner
    The NeverEnding Story                       1984    3/2/10   7.4   83    20.2   Warner
    Spies Like Us                               1985    3/2/10   5.9   41    60.1   Warner
    Funny Farm                                  1988    3/2/10   5.6   65    25.5   Warner
    
    Frantic                                     1988   2/23/10   6.7   77    17.6   Warner
    Presumed Innocent                           1990   2/23/10   6.8   94    86.3   Warner
    Grumpier Old Men                            1995   2/23/10   6.3   18    69.9   Warner
    Analyze This                                1999   2/23/10   6.6   68   106.9   Warner
    Miss Congeniality                           2000   2/23/10   6.1   41   106.8   Warner
    Analyze That                                2002   2/23/10   5.6   27    32.1   Warner
    Miss Congeniality 2: Armed & Fabulous       2005   2/23/10   4.7   14    48.5   Warner
    Cabin Fever                                 2002   2/16/10   5.4   63    21.2   Lionsgate
    Ran                                         1985   2/16/10   8.3   96     4.0   Lionsgate
    Contempt                                    1963   2/16/10   7.7   94     0.9   Lionsgate
    The Ladykillers                             1955   2/16/10   8.0  100    39.8   Lionsgate
    Hard Rain                                   1998    2/9/10   5.6   23    19.9   Lionsgate
    The Phantom                                 1996    2/9/10   4.8   42    17.3   Lionsgate
    Drop Zone                                   1994    2/9/10   5.2   28    28.7   Lionsgate
    The Running Man                             1987    2/9/10   6.4   63    38.1   Lionsgate
    The Last King of Scotland                   2006    2/2/10   7.8   87    17.6   Fox
    Walk the Line                               2005    2/2/10   7.9   82   119.5   Fox
    Onk Bak: The Thai Warrior                   2003    2/2/10   7.2   85     4.6   Fox
    To Live and Die in L.A.                     1985    2/2/10   7.0   86    17.3   MGM
    Maid in Manhatten                           2002    2/2/10   4.6   40    94.0   Sony
    Mona Lisa Smile                             2003    2/2/10   6.1   35    63.9   Sony
    Fear and Loathing in Las Vegas              1998    2/2/10   7.6   48    10.7   Universal
    The Music Man                               1962    2/2/10   7.6   93           Warner
    Mystic River                                2003    2/2/10   8.0   88    90.1   Warner
    
    Atonement                                   2007   1/26/10   7.9   82    50.9   Universal
    Pride and Prejudice                         2005   1/26/10   7.8   85    38.4   Universal
    Fame                                        1980   1/26/10   6.4   90    21.2   Warner
    Boogie Nights                               1997   1/19/10   7.8   94    26.4   New Line
    Magnolia                                    1999   1/19/10   8.0   83    22.5   New Line
    Smokin' Aces                                2006   1/19/10   6.6   27    35.8   Universal
    Last Action Hero                            1993   1/12/10   5.8   33    50.0   Sony
    Cliffhanger                                 1993   1/12/10   6.2   83    84.0   Sony
    10 Things I Hate About You                  1999    1/5/10   6.9   56    38.2   Buena Vista
    Cheaper By the Dozen 2                      2005    1/5/10   5.2    7    82.6   Fox
    The Green Berets                            1968    1/5/10   5.1   29           Warner
    .
    "A lot of good arguments are spoiled by some fool who knows what he is talking about." - Miguel de Unamuno

    "I understand the concept of optimism. But I think with me what you get is a lack of cynicism." - Tom Hanks

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