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07-08-2010 10:43 PM #1456
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This data has been updated. Please go to the end pages of this thread for the latest versions.
Last edited by Kosty; 07-15-2010 at 09:36 PM.
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"A lot of good arguments are spoiled by some fool who knows what he is talking about." - Miguel de Unamuno
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07-08-2010 10:44 PM #1457
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Last edited by Kosty; 07-15-2010 at 09:37 PM.
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"A lot of good arguments are spoiled by some fool who knows what he is talking about." - Miguel de Unamuno
"I understand the concept of optimism. But I think with me what you get is a lack of cynicism." - Tom Hanks
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07-08-2010 10:45 PM #1458
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2008 to 2009 to 2010 Year to Year Revenue Comparison Summary
Updated thru week ending 7/04/10
This data has been updated. Please go to the end pages of this thread for the latest versions.Code:2009 to 2010 YTYx YTY +% (Week Ending 1/03/10-7/04/10 compared to matching 2009 period) (HMM reported revenues) Blu-ray 1.558 +55.77 % DVD 0.903 -9.73 % DVD+BD 0.956 -4.44 %Last edited by Kosty; 07-15-2010 at 09:37 PM.
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"A lot of good arguments are spoiled by some fool who knows what he is talking about." - Miguel de Unamuno
"I understand the concept of optimism. But I think with me what you get is a lack of cynicism." - Tom Hanks
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07-08-2010 10:46 PM #1459
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This data has been updated. Please go to the end pages of this thread for the latest versions.
Last edited by Kosty; 07-15-2010 at 09:38 PM.
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"A lot of good arguments are spoiled by some fool who knows what he is talking about." - Miguel de Unamuno
"I understand the concept of optimism. But I think with me what you get is a lack of cynicism." - Tom Hanks
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07-08-2010 11:57 PM #1460
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Thanks for the update once again.
25% BD market share for Percy Jackson seems right. I'm not familiar with this movie but it seems to be similar to those Harry Potter and Twilight movies and it was probably expected to perform similar to them on Blu-ray. Good outing for the other two movies as well. No big box office performers came out so the BD revenue for the week was expected.
I don't see any new theatrical release worth buying for the next couple of months, now it's time to continue watching the BD's I have and catch up with any catalog titles that go on sale. Even though I dislike the kind of movies like Clash Of The Titans, I decided to give it a chance and saw it theatrically. I didn't like it and I will not be buying it but I'm interested in seeing how it performs on BD. -
07-10-2010 05:11 PM #1461
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Week ending 7/04/10
http://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/ques....php?startid=2
Code:BD Title Share for Week Ending 7/04/10 BDshare DVDshare Blu-ray Share for Title Title 45.49 54.51 45.49% Life 41.74 58.26 41.74% Avatar 36.44 63.56 36.44% Warlords 33.45 66.55 33.45% Sherlock Holmes 31.82 68.18 31.82% Toy Story 2 31.69 68.31 31.69% The Crazies 30.17 69.83 30.17% Toy Story 28.59 71.41 28.59% The Book of Eli 27.79 72.21 27.79% Hot Tub Time Machine 26.12 73.88 26.12% The Wolfman 25.00 75.00 25.00% Percy Jackson & The Olympians: 25.00 75.00 25.00% Green Zone 25.00 75.00 25.00% From*Paris*With Love 24.00 76.00 24.00% Shutter*Island 16.00 84.00 16.00% Alice*in Wonderland 16.00 84.00 16.00% She's Out of My League 15.00 85.00 15.00% Entourage: Sixth Season 14.00 86.00 14.00% New Moon 13.00 87.00 13.00% Twilight 7.00 93.00 7.00% Remember Me 1.00 99.00 1.00% The Shawshank Redemption
Code:Identifiable Blu-ray Discs Unit Sales by Title for the Week Ended 7/04/10 Estimates of Blu-ray units sold by title by two methods: BD#Index is the estimate of units sold per title based on the index numbers on the Blu-ray Disc Top 20 chart. Each title units are estimated based on its Index number as a percentage to the #1 bestselling Blu-ray title. BD#BD% is the estimate of units sold per title based on the Blu-ray marketshare off the Top 20 Sellers chart or the BD Title Share chart computed against the DVD units sales per title reported each week on the-numbers.com US DVD Sales Chart. BDRank BDindex BDshare DVDunit BD#Index BD#BD% 1 100.00 25.00% 823,134 274,378 274,378 Percy Jackson & The Olympians Fox 2 65.30 27.79% 431,487 179,169 166,058 Hot Tub Time Machine Fox/MGM 3 42.42 31.69% 248,916 116,391 115,476 The Crazies Anchor*Bay 4 24.66 41.74% 82,149 67,662 58,855 Avatar Fox 5 22.27 28.59% 176,315 61,104 70,590 The Book of Eli Warner 6 17.09 25.00% 143,308 46,891 47,769 Green Zone Universal 7 16.66 16.00% 222,411 45,711 42,364 Alice*in Wonderland Disney 8 11.28 31.82% 60,500 30,950 28,236 Toy Story 2 Disney 9 10.97 30.17% 65,439 30,099 28,273 Toy Story Disney 10 8.05 24.00% 70,131 22,087 22,147 Shutter*Island Paramount 11 7.29 45.49% unknown 20,002 unknown Life BBC Video 12 7.19 14.00% 105,855 19,728 17,232 New Moon Summit 13 6.09 unknown unknown 16,710 unknown Predator Fox 14 6.00 36.44% unknown 16,463 unknown Warlords Magnolia 15 4.93 26.12% unknown 13,527 unknown The Wolfman Universal 16 4.89 16.00% 70,543 13,417 13,437 She's Out of My League Paramount 17 4.27 unknown unknown 11,716 unknown Terminator 2: Judgment Day Lionsgate 18 4.22 25.00% 36,053 11,579 12,018 From*Paris*With Love Lionsgate 19 3.52 33.45% unknown 9,658 unknown Sherlock Holmes Warner 20 3.48 13.00% 50,701 9,548 7,576 Twilight Summit 7.00% 109,806 unknown 8,265 Entourage: Sixth Season 15.00% 45,766 unknown 8,076 Remember Me 1.00% 39,263 unknown 397 The Shawshank Redemption 1,016,790 921,146 Top 20 Est 719,756
http://www.the-numbers.com/interacti...hp?newsID=5284DVD Sales: New Releases Light Up the Sales Chart
A trio of new releases led the way on the sales chart this week with Percy & the Olympians: The Lightning Thief topping the chart. It sold 823,000 units over its opening week for consumer spending at retail of $13.99 million. Hot Tub Time Machine opened in second place with 431,000 units / $7.33 million, which is in line with expectations. On the other hand, The Crazies was a little weaker with opening week sales of 249,000 / $3.73 million; however, it did well on high definition. Alice in Wonderland grew by 32% to 222,000 units over the week to lift its totals to 3.44 million units / $65.40 million after a month of release. The Book of Eli fell from first to fifth with 176,000 / $3.85 million for the week and 1.26 million units / $27.89 million after three.
The other other new releases were both TV on DVD with The Closer: Season Five debuting in 14th place with 58,000 units / $1.50 million. Lastly, Eureka: Season 3.5 opened in 20th place with 41,000 units / $785,000 for the week. For shows not on network TV these are very solid results.
Blu-ray sales were up 15% for the week to $17.4 million, according to Home Media Magazine, which is especially impressive for this time of year. In fact, this is up 62% from last year, despite DVD sales dropping by 1%. I'm amazed DVD sales were lower when you look at the chart from last year.
Compared to DVD, Blu-ray sales represented 11% of total sales and 20% of the top twenty comparison, so there's nothing to complain about there. The best selling Blu-ray of the week was Percy & the Olympians: The Lightning Thief with approximately 250,000 units sold. Hot Tub Time Machine was in second place with 170,000 units sold, which is high for this type of film, while The Crazies sold close to 110,000 units, or nearly 32% of total sales.
There's still talk that Blu-ray is a niche market, but when first run releases, even R-rated comedies, can sell more than 25% of their total units in Blu-ray, then that's beyond niche. It's a mainstream format; it isn't the dominate format, but it is mainstream.
- C.S.Strowbridge
Date posted: 2010-07-13
Movies
Percy Jackson & the Olympians: The Lightning Thief
Hot Tub Time Machine
The Crazies
Alice in Wonderland
The Book of EliLast edited by Kosty; 07-15-2010 at 06:27 PM.
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"A lot of good arguments are spoiled by some fool who knows what he is talking about." - Miguel de Unamuno
"I understand the concept of optimism. But I think with me what you get is a lack of cynicism." - Tom Hanks
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07-11-2010 07:39 PM #1462
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Originally Posted by jvillain ffrom AVS
I'd would use the word disappointing if that happened , but I actually don't think that is going to occur.
We have pretty much seen the Blu-ray revenue floor already this year and the next big DVD releases coming up (like Watchmen last year) Clash of the Titans should do well on Blu-ray. Might be a bit touch and go for the next couple weeks as the release slate is meh (The Girl with the Dragon Tatoo might be a sleeper on Blu-ray)
Even if it does its really not significant in the big swing of things whats happens on home video mid July during these low volume periods.
Really the next significant even it how Clash of the Titans does on Blu-ray marketshare and revenues on its release.
Next couple weeks have kinda low new release total box office performance pedigrees as well.
TB0 week ending 7/11/10Code:07/11/10 TBO $45.02 -70.85% YTY 07/18/10 TBO $94.73 +71.03% YTY
TBO week ending 7/18/10Code:Street Title Box Office 7/6/10 The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo $8.68 7/6/10 Brooklyn's Finest $27.16 7/6/10 A Single Man $9.18 Total Box Office Power: $45.02 Street Title Box Office 7/7/09 Knowing $79.96 7/7/09 The Unborn $42.67 7/7/09 Push $31.81 Total Box Office Power: $154.44
Code:Street Title Box Office 7/13/10 The Bounty Hunter $67.06 7/13/10 Chloe $3.07 7/13/10 The Greatest $0.11 7/13/10 Greenberg $4.23 7/13/10 Our Family Wedding $20.25 Total Box Office Power: $94.73 7/14/09 The Haunting in Connecticut $55.39 Total Box Office Power: $55.39
http://www.blu-ray.com/movies/calendar.php
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"A lot of good arguments are spoiled by some fool who knows what he is talking about." - Miguel de Unamuno
"I understand the concept of optimism. But I think with me what you get is a lack of cynicism." - Tom Hanks
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07-12-2010 07:46 PM #1463
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This data has been updated. Please go to the end pages of this thread for the latest versions.
Last edited by Kosty; 07-19-2010 at 02:51 PM.
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"A lot of good arguments are spoiled by some fool who knows what he is talking about." - Miguel de Unamuno
"I understand the concept of optimism. But I think with me what you get is a lack of cynicism." - Tom Hanks
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07-12-2010 08:11 PM #1464
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"A lot of good arguments are spoiled by some fool who knows what he is talking about." - Miguel de Unamuno
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07-13-2010 10:06 AM #1465
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This data has been updated. Please go to the end pages of this thread for the latest versions.
Last edited by Kosty; 07-21-2010 at 10:44 AM.
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"A lot of good arguments are spoiled by some fool who knows what he is talking about." - Miguel de Unamuno
"I understand the concept of optimism. But I think with me what you get is a lack of cynicism." - Tom Hanks
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07-13-2010 10:07 AM #1466
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This data has been updated. Please go to the end pages of this thread for the latest versions.
Last edited by Kosty; 07-21-2010 at 10:44 AM.
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"A lot of good arguments are spoiled by some fool who knows what he is talking about." - Miguel de Unamuno
"I understand the concept of optimism. But I think with me what you get is a lack of cynicism." - Tom Hanks
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07-13-2010 10:08 AM #1467
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Top 20 Unit Sales Estimate Year to Year Comparison Summary (The-Numbers.com*HMM %)
Updated thru week ending 7/04/10 units data.
This data has been updated. Please go to the end pages of this thread for the latest versions.Code:2009 to 2010 YTYx YTY + %(Week Ending 1/03/10-7/04/10 compared to matching 2009 period) (The-Numbers.com reported DVD Top 20 units, calculated Blu-ray Top20 units) Blu-ray 1.597 59.70 % DVD 0.781 -21.85 % DVD+BD 0.873 -12.65 %Last edited by Kosty; 07-21-2010 at 10:44 AM.
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"A lot of good arguments are spoiled by some fool who knows what he is talking about." - Miguel de Unamuno
"I understand the concept of optimism. But I think with me what you get is a lack of cynicism." - Tom Hanks
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07-13-2010 10:57 AM #1468
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Projections: ‘Percy,’ ‘Hot Tub’ to Repeat Atop Charts (7/11/10)
By : Kelly Burner | Posted: 12 Jul 2010
The low-wattage box office power of new releases for the week ended July 11 should allow the previous week’s releases to stay atop the charts. The combined theatrical power of the three major new releases for the week totaled less than $50 million.
Anchor Bay came out with the crime drama Brooklyn’s Finest, starring Don Cheadle, Richard Gere and Ethan Hawke, and which earned more than $27 million in domestic theaters. Sony Pictures released the drama A Single Man, which earned $9.2 million theatrically, while Music Box Films came out with the thriller The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo, which earned $9.1 million.
Of the new releases for the week, Brooklyn’s Finest should perform best, but it is unlikely to become the top selling or top renting title for the week. Instead, Fox’s Percy Jackson & the Olympians and Hot Tub Time Machine will hold strong at first and second place for a second consecutive week.
Code:Projected Top 3 Sellers for Week Ending 7/11/2010 1 Percy Jackson & the Olympians: The Lightning Thief Fox 2 2 Hot Tub Time Machine Fox/MGM 2 3 Brooklyn's Finest Anchor Bay New
http://www.homemediamagazine.com/res...p-charts-19932
The box office performance of this weeks releases is way down from last years matching week. Thats going to be a tough week for new releases in the YTY comparisons.
07/11/10 TBO $45.02 -70.85% YTY
This year
Last YearCode:Street Title Box Office 7/6/10 The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo $8.68 7/6/10 Brooklyn's Finest $27.16 7/6/10 A Single Man $9.18 Total Box Office Power: $45.02
Code:Street Title Box Office 7/7/09 Knowing $79.96 7/7/09 The Unborn $42.67 7/7/09 Push $31.81 Total Box Office Power: $154.44
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"A lot of good arguments are spoiled by some fool who knows what he is talking about." - Miguel de Unamuno
"I understand the concept of optimism. But I think with me what you get is a lack of cynicism." - Tom Hanks
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07-13-2010 03:04 PM #1469
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Hey Kosty,
Sorry if this information is already posted somewhere, but I didn't see it: is there information on units rented/sold? With all the discussion that optical is dying out and being replaced by other media/platforms, I'd be interested to see how much change there has been in optical useage. Is there really a significant shift away from optical at all or just a change in spending habits? Although clearly less units are being sold on optical (for various reasons), are people actually renting fewer titles or are companies like Redbox actually increasing optical useage, but with the result of lower/decreased overall revenues? -
07-13-2010 03:39 PM #1470
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We have some these ready data sources.
Weekly sell through revenues separately for DVD and Blu-ray from Home Media Magazine.
Weekly rental income combined for DVD+Blu-ray.
Units sold percentage comparison ratio of the 20 bestselling DVD titles vs the 20 bestselling Blu-ray titles of the week. Since those are pretty much the same, thats now basically a percentage of the units sold of the bestselling 20 titles each week that are either DVD or Blu-ray.
The percentages in units sold of the best selling 20 titles that are DVD or Blu-ray (Blu-ray+DVD combos count as Blu-ray)
The ratio of Blu-ray units and sold compared to the bestselling Blu-ray title.
The ratio of DVD and Blu-ray units sold for titles compared to the bestselling DVD+Blu-ray title.
The revenues and units sold of the bestselling top 30 DVD titles. (the numbers)
We can derive an estimate for Blu-ray units sold by title for about the bestselling top 25 or so Blu-ray titles each week.
Total DVD+Blu-ray rental income each week.
We can derive an estimate for the unit sales of the top 20 DVD titles each week and the top 20 Blu-ray titles each week (my Top 20 unit estimate)
Total DVD and Blu-ray revenue marketshares
Top top 20 DVD title and top 20 Blu-ray title units.
Quarterly we get an estimate of total units sold from HMM (their line chart) thats plotted on one of my unit charts , We can see its based on a calculation factor off their revenue estimates for each week. If we wanted to we can create a weekly unit estimate by dividing out the revenues by that factor.
We have determine top 20 units, not top 20 revenues each week.
We have total format revenues but not units each week.
We have top 20 unit marketshare, we can assume Blu-ray revenue top 20 marketshare is 20-25% higher than top 20 unit share because of $5 higher Blu-ray price points.
Did that answer the question?.
"A lot of good arguments are spoiled by some fool who knows what he is talking about." - Miguel de Unamuno
"I understand the concept of optimism. But I think with me what you get is a lack of cynicism." - Tom Hanks
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2010 Blu-ray Sales Metrics Stats: Nielsen/Videoscan/HMM Charts/Ratios/Bestsellers Etc
