Page 11 of 48 FirstFirst ... 91011121321 ... LastLast
Results 151 to 165 of 711
  1. #151
    cakefoo's Avatar
    cakefoo is offline Member
    Join Date
    Dec 2007
    Posts
    2,418

    Default

    Real Deals for ‘Real Steel’
    So close! Should have been Real Steals on Real Steel.

  2. #152
    Kosty's Avatar
    Kosty is offline Member
    Join Date
    Apr 2007
    Posts
    28,296

    Default

    Results for 01/21/12 repeated below

    Spoiler:
    Week Ending 01/21/12





    Sales Report Chart and Tables:
    http://www.homemediamagazine.com/mar...k-ended-012112





    Last edited by Kosty; 01-31-2012 at 08:43 PM.
    .
    "A lot of good arguments are spoiled by some fool who knows what he is talking about." - Miguel de Unamuno

    "I understand the concept of optimism. But I think with me what you get is a lack of cynicism." - Tom Hanks

    follow me on Twitter

  3. #153
    Kosty's Avatar
    Kosty is offline Member
    Join Date
    Apr 2007
    Posts
    28,296

    Default

    Home Media Magazine has a new feature on their website.

    If you click on the weekly pie chart graphic you now get this detailed sales report which includes the revenue graphic, the box office strength of the weekly new releases, the unit sales for Blu-ray and DVD and the average price comparisons from this week to last years matching week.

    HMM is now posting up the unit numbers each week.

    If you click on the pie chart on the HMM website you get a detailed sales report chart that also includes the unit sales figures.

    http://www.homemediamagazine.com/mar...k-ended-012112

    http://www.homemediamagazine.com/mar...k-ended-011412

    http://www.homemediamagazine.com/mar...k-ended-010712
    Last edited by Kosty; 01-31-2012 at 10:28 PM.
    .
    "A lot of good arguments are spoiled by some fool who knows what he is talking about." - Miguel de Unamuno

    "I understand the concept of optimism. But I think with me what you get is a lack of cynicism." - Tom Hanks

    follow me on Twitter

  4. #154
    Kosty's Avatar
    Kosty is offline Member
    Join Date
    Apr 2007
    Posts
    28,296

    Default

    Week Ending 01/07/12



    Sales Report:
    http://www.homemediamagazine.com/mar...k-ended-011412





    Last edited by Kosty; 01-31-2012 at 10:29 PM.
    .
    "A lot of good arguments are spoiled by some fool who knows what he is talking about." - Miguel de Unamuno

    "I understand the concept of optimism. But I think with me what you get is a lack of cynicism." - Tom Hanks

    follow me on Twitter

  5. #155
    Kosty's Avatar
    Kosty is offline Member
    Join Date
    Apr 2007
    Posts
    28,296

    Default

    Week Ending 01/14/12



    Sales Report:

    http://www.homemediamagazine.com/mar...k-ended-011412





    Last edited by Kosty; 01-31-2012 at 10:29 PM.
    .
    "A lot of good arguments are spoiled by some fool who knows what he is talking about." - Miguel de Unamuno

    "I understand the concept of optimism. But I think with me what you get is a lack of cynicism." - Tom Hanks

    follow me on Twitter

  6. #156
    Kosty's Avatar
    Kosty is offline Member
    Join Date
    Apr 2007
    Posts
    28,296

    Default

    Week Ending 01/21/12





    Sales Report Chart and Tables:
    http://www.homemediamagazine.com/mar...k-ended-012112





    Last edited by Kosty; 01-31-2012 at 10:30 PM.
    .
    "A lot of good arguments are spoiled by some fool who knows what he is talking about." - Miguel de Unamuno

    "I understand the concept of optimism. But I think with me what you get is a lack of cynicism." - Tom Hanks

    follow me on Twitter

  7. #157
    Malanthius's Avatar
    Malanthius is offline Member
    Join Date
    Nov 2007
    Posts
    6,577

    Default

    So much for that box office conspiracy. 1/21 inches up to 8% with a box office increase of +79%. Yet the previous weeks were close at 5 and 7 percent when they both had negitive TBO numbers. That plus 79% made very little difference. Cockamamy theory debunked.
    Roku2, Roku3, Samsung 1600, Insignia BR W/Netflix!
    = 70

  8. #158
    Kosty's Avatar
    Kosty is offline Member
    Join Date
    Apr 2007
    Posts
    28,296

    Default

    Its interesting that the Blu-ray YoY percentage unit gains each week this year so far are substantially higher than the Blu-ray YoY revenue gains.

    The lower Blu-ray unit prices are moving more units but generating less in revenue gains.

    Code:
    Week    BD Units  BD Rev    TBO
    
    01/07/12  +17.5%  +7.0%  -13.9% TBO
    01/14/12  +13.5%  +5.6%  -20.6% TBO
    01/21/12  +21.6%  +8.9%  +79.4% TBO
    The Average Cost per Blu-ray Units has been significantly down each of the three weeks this year.

    Code:
    Week   Average BD Unit
    
    01/07/12  -09.4%    (was $21.51 now $19.49 down -9.4%)	
    01/14/12  -06.8%    (was $20.30 now $18.92 down -6.8%) 
    01/21/12  -10.4%    (was $20.60 was $18.46 down-10.4%)
    That lowering of average BD prices is generating less Blu-ray revenue percentage gains each week than the increase in Blu-ray units sold.

    Clearly the lower Blu-ray prices are moving more units but generating less revenues at the retail level.
    Last edited by Kosty; 01-31-2012 at 10:31 PM.

  9. #159
    Kosty's Avatar
    Kosty is offline Member
    Join Date
    Apr 2007
    Posts
    28,296

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Malanthius View Post
    So much for that box office conspiracy. 1/21 inches up to 8% with a box office increase of +79%. Yet the previous weeks were close at 5 and 7 percent when they both had negitive TBO numbers. That plus 79% made very little difference. Cockamamy theory debunked.
    The Total Box Office metric is a gross indicator. The week of 1/21/12 did have Blu-ray revenues up a few percentages points higher than the first two weeks of the year when the TBO was negative but only slightly down in magnitude. This week the TBO percentage was up more but not that much in magnitude.

    Blu-ray units were up +21% which is more closely tracking the TBO gain but that probably indicates the new releases were sold at retail at lower price points which moderated the Blu-ray revenue gains.

    The TBO percentage change is a ratio and not the entire story.

    None of the three weeks had real significant box office disparities and a $50 million dollar disparity spread among 8 vs 13 titles is hardly dramatic.

    The TBO matters a lot more when there are $100 or $200 million box office performance titles involved.

    Plus the offset of the Sunday - Saturday revenue reporting period while the TBO is a Monday - Sunday reporting week also spreads some of the impact of the TBO disparity into the following week.

    The TBO matches and power of the releases is not a "Cockamamy theory" that you have debunked. Its a real effect where the box office strength of the comparison week's releases are a significant factor in the sales performance of the new releases for the week compared to last year. But here you are making too much of the percentage difference as neither week was having any tent pole or blockbuster releases.

    You had this week with three $25+ M titles where the leading title was $17 M less than last year $41 M + $35 M + $28 M vs $58 M for last year. Its not like any of those were Avatar type performers and the leading title last year was actually more powerful than this years.

    You have to look at some specifics in the title's box office performance, the percentage change does not tell the entire story.

    Last edited by Kosty; 01-31-2012 at 10:02 PM.
    .
    "A lot of good arguments are spoiled by some fool who knows what he is talking about." - Miguel de Unamuno

    "I understand the concept of optimism. But I think with me what you get is a lack of cynicism." - Tom Hanks

    follow me on Twitter

  10. #160
    Kosty's Avatar
    Kosty is offline Member
    Join Date
    Apr 2007
    Posts
    28,296

    Default

    The previous weeks were also even closer in actual TBO values, $20 M and $30 M so they were pretty close even with TBO percentages being down.

    This time of year the releases are modest compared to the 4Q holiday sales season or when the summer blockbusters or other major releases hit.

    The TBO for the week of Twilight: Breaking Dawn Part 1 is released show be a time when the TBO makes a big difference. Not this week.

    It mattered a little bit this week, but just like the first two weeks of the year, the TBO disparity was an influence but not really dominant.




    Last edited by Kosty; 01-31-2012 at 10:32 PM.
    .
    "A lot of good arguments are spoiled by some fool who knows what he is talking about." - Miguel de Unamuno

    "I understand the concept of optimism. But I think with me what you get is a lack of cynicism." - Tom Hanks

    follow me on Twitter

  11. #161
    cakefoo's Avatar
    cakefoo is offline Member
    Join Date
    Dec 2007
    Posts
    2,418

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Malanthius View Post
    So much for that box office conspiracy. 1/21 inches up to 8% with a box office increase of +79%. Yet the previous weeks were close at 5 and 7 percent when they both had negitive TBO numbers. That plus 79% made very little difference. Cockamamy theory debunked.
    Courageous did half the usual Blu-ray marketshare you'd expect from the average new release. Kevin Hart wasn't released on Blu-ray.

    Social Network was only on its second week at this time last year.

    Also, I think you severely underestimate the impact that the BO disparities in December and early January are having on sales. The Numbers units charts YOY show the individual contributions like Inception and Twilight and The Other Guys and Despicable Me and Salt were there to support 2011 sales, with nothing comparable in 2012 other than the few new arrivals.

    How about you spend more than 8 seconds on your analysis next time? Or would you prefer other people keep doing all the work for you?

  12. #162
    Kosty's Avatar
    Kosty is offline Member
    Join Date
    Apr 2007
    Posts
    28,296

    Default

    Courageous was a Christian centric movie from the same people that made Fireproof and it only did 16% Blu-ray unit marketshare so it was not a strong Blu-ray genre as a faith based drama.

    The genre's of the titles matter also in how much the gross indicator of box office strength affects high definition Blu-ray home video sales.

    http://www.courageousthemovie.com/

    .
    "A lot of good arguments are spoiled by some fool who knows what he is talking about." - Miguel de Unamuno

    "I understand the concept of optimism. But I think with me what you get is a lack of cynicism." - Tom Hanks

    follow me on Twitter

  13. #163
    Kosty's Avatar
    Kosty is offline Member
    Join Date
    Apr 2007
    Posts
    28,296

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by cakefoo View Post

    The Numbers units charts YOY show the individual contributions like Inception and Twilight and The Other Guys and Despicable Me and Salt were there to support 2011 2010 sales, with nothing comparable in 2012 2011 other than the few new arrivals.
    I think you meant 2010 not 2011. We also have not had any big releases in 2012 yet until Twilight: Breaking Dawn Part 1 shows up in a couple weeks.
    .
    "A lot of good arguments are spoiled by some fool who knows what he is talking about." - Miguel de Unamuno

    "I understand the concept of optimism. But I think with me what you get is a lack of cynicism." - Tom Hanks

    follow me on Twitter

  14. #164
    cakefoo's Avatar
    cakefoo is offline Member
    Join Date
    Dec 2007
    Posts
    2,418

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Kosty View Post
    I think you meant 2010 not 2011.
    Nope, I'm talking about week ending 1/22/2012 vs 1/23/2011. You can see that the major December releases were still selling pretty well this time a year ago.

  15. #165
    cakefoo's Avatar
    cakefoo is offline Member
    Join Date
    Dec 2007
    Posts
    2,418

    Default

    In doing my chart I'm seeing that Buried and Death Race 2 did some relatively significant sales this time last year. They didn't do anything at the box office so it's like a stealth boost for 2011 relative to box office strength.

Page 11 of 48 FirstFirst ... 91011121321 ... LastLast

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •  


Content Relevant URLs by vBSEO 3.5.1 PL1