View Poll Results: An honest HMM mistake or an intentional add-on quote?
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09-03-2011 02:46 PM #181
09-03-2011 03:00 PM #182
09-03-2011 03:08 PM #183Banned
- Join Date
- Nov 2010
$3.2 - $3.3 billion would be moderate (40%) growth.
$3.4 - $3.5 would be considered good growth, although the packaging shifts occurring kind of mess up the projections as DVD revenue is purposefully being hobbled in order to boost Blu-ray.
09-03-2011 03:16 PM #184
Talk about over blowing things.
I think if we end up with 20 percent growth, so be it. It only tells us that next year or the year after we're going to peak.
It happens and really isn't a big deal.
The big deal is where is digital going to go with revenue. That's the next star on the block coming up.
09-03-2011 03:29 PM #185
Unit sale increases and marketshare gains will also be higher for Blu-ray than the revenue gains as the revenue statistics are affected by the unit price reductions as well.
Saying any growth figure under 31% would be considered disastrous in the face of this economy is pure hyperbole anyway. Especially if Blu-ray's growth is a lot more than digital with the same releases..
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09-03-2011 03:41 PM #186
09-03-2011 03:43 PM #187
Kosty, the economy is obvious a major factor.
I think we will peak in the next couple years but marketshare will continue to go up as dvd continues to decline at a faster rate. Blu-ray probably going to stay near peak for a 3-4 years before shrinking.
That's 8-9 years before decline for BD. Not a bad life cycle per se.
09-03-2011 03:45 PM #188
Let's not forget the NATURAL progression of OD will be shrinking probably to <40 percent peak revenue and eventual hope of a digital solution to pick up the slack.
09-03-2011 03:46 PM #189
09-03-2011 03:48 PM #190Banned
- Join Date
- Nov 2010
That would mean less actual revenue growth in 2011 vs 2010 with a much larger installed base and two of the largest catalog offerings available for Home Video getting BD releases (LOTR and Star Wars). Think about that for a second... Less actual revenue dollar growth despite the BD only sell through window for a major sequel, Blu-ray only catalog releases for LOTR and Star Wars and the much larger installed base. That would be a disastrous year.
09-03-2011 03:49 PM #191
09-03-2011 03:51 PM #192
If you mean by disaster that it will herald the pullback of studios from making BD's, then yes it would be disastrous; however, I don't think that's going to happen. So it doesn't really matter to some degree.
PSound is spinning to keep the eye/discussion off of netflix's disaster.
09-03-2011 06:13 PM #193Sony BDP-S1, Toshiba A3, Xbox HD DVD Addon. Samsung 1600, Insignia BR W/Netflix!
09-03-2011 06:15 PM #194
09-03-2011 06:31 PM #195
I was commenting on PSounds choice of words and how the performance at this time would be disastrous.