3D More Popular than DVRs by 2019 According to ESPN

[TheDickWard]

3D More Popular than DVRs by 2019 According to ESPN

http://www.multichannel.com/article/..._3D_Uptake.php

[tranzparentl]

I have to say I don't agree with this statement at all but coming from the VP of ESPN, I can understand his point of view, mostly because people are a lot more likely to watch sporting events live than recorded on a DVR (yes, I know some people DVR sports but they have to be in the minority)

[Landy]

What a silly prediction. 3D is barely even here yet (don't even know for sure if it will fly or not, and I'm leaning towards not) and some executive decides to make a statement that virtually compares apples to bazookas??? What a joke.

[Gunyaga]

note the nearly 9 year time span as well, I mean, what COULDN'T happen by then lol?

[webdev511]

In nine years I predict that eating delicious fruit pies will be more popular than breathing.

The only sports I don't watch on DVR are the live commercial free broadcasts of MotoGP and Moto2. Granted I paid $100 US for the HD stream, but I also don't have to pay $1,200 a year for cable or directv.

[RaiderRodney]

Well sure he says that...since they want to promote it....but more popular than the dvr....to quote Ocho Cinco.."chile please"

[cbcdesign]

We could easily have decent glasses free 3D by then in which case he may well be correct.

[Lee Stewart]

DVR Household Penetration: At the end of 2003, 2.5% of US HHs had DVRs. As of the end of 2008, it had grown to 29% (according to current Nielsen estimates). At the end of 2011, I estimate we’ll reach the magic metric of 50%. Notes: In five years DVRs have gone from something only in homes of the earliest of early adopters to a mass market phenomenon. And this growth pace should continue at least into 2011. Since September 2007, Nielsen data has shown DVR penetration increasing at an almost linear rate of slightly over 7% of US HHs per year, even during the economic “excursion” of the past six months. I believe assuming this DVR rate will continue for the next three years is a conservative assumption. Broadband adoption accelerated all the way up to almost 50% and only then did growth rates start slowing. DVR service costs less than broadband, is easier to acquire and maintain (no self IT support required) and provides enormous utility to America’s #1 waking activity – watching TV**.

(** I’ve run the numbers and yes… in the US there are more hours of TV viewing than paid hours worked (based on Nielsen and US Dept. of Labor data).)

http://billniemeyer.tv/2009/03/01/ba...d-vod-metrics/

[chris gerhard]

I have had a DVR since 2000 and don't expect to own a 3D display by 2019 but there is really no way I can predict that with much confidence. I can say with certainty, I will still own a DVR in 2019 and it might even be 3D capable. This is a very dumb prediction which may be correct or incorrect but easily qualifies as the prediction nobody cares about in 2010 and nobody will care in 2019 to check to see if it came true. I watch recorded sports events some but not often.

Chris